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Saturday, June 29, 2013
Monday, June 17, 2013
The Third Coming of Nawaz Sharif
The Third Coming of Nawaz Sharif
This article was published in Daily Greater Kashmir, Sirinagar, Dated June 16, 2013
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It is no exaggeration to say that Nawaz Sharif’s election victory has aroused more expectations within Pakistan and abroad than any government since its creation. An atmosphere of pessimism and gloom prevailed when PPP returned to power in 2008 and its main achievement was to have survived. Pakistani voters want more than just that from Nawaz Sharif. It is not only ordinary Pakistanis that have a stake in the actions of the new government; there are other sorts of expectations to be met and apprehensions to be allayed. First are the organized domestic religious groups devoted to the task of violently eliminating fellow Pakistanis on sectarian ground; then there are the violent NGOs dedicated to pursuit of causes abroad, the non State actors in Pakistani parlance, and finally the violent cadres of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan the TTP, intent on deciding how Pakistan should be run. All three groups are armed, violent and dangerous are involved with each in a tangled web of relationshipsLooming over these groups and over the civilian government is the largest, most organized, most heavily armed, and the most dangerous group of all, the Pakistan army, according to some their creator. The PA has arguably done more damage to Pakistan, defending its ‘Ideology’ than all the other violent groups put together.Pakistan’s immediate neighbours, Afghanistan and India, naturally top the list of foreign parties anxiously looking out for Mian Nawaz Sharif’s moves, but there is also the US, the super power ensconced in Pakistan’s backyard and enemy of its client Taliban; and then there is Kashmir, where anxiety levels are presumably at the highest level of all. The priority of the ordinary Pakistani voter is an end to inflation, the economic crisis and power cuts. To solve all three NS will have to pull not just one rabbit out of his hat but several. Pakistan had a surplus capacity of 1000 mw when NS was deposed in 1999; today it is short by about 5000 mw. No additions to capacity took place in the last decade. Short term solutions lie in buying power from India or Iran. A transmission line can be stretched very quickly from Jalandhar but Pakistan has declined so far to pursue this option. Inflation and economic growth are more difficult to handle. The IMF has disclosed that Pakistan’s gross financing needs would climb to 33% of GDP this year. Multilateral and bilateral credits to finance the budget deficit have also disappeared. Saudi Arabia recently announced a $15 billion package for energy assistance. Details have not been released.Inflation had touched 12% last year though it has come down this year. Trade with India would probably bring down consumer inflation but the problem of the Most Favoured Nation status holds it up. Hina Rabbani Khar said last week that Pakistani would have approved this status to India in January except for the fuss made over beheading of soldiers in J&K. Pakistan’s fiscal deficit has touched 8.5%, and its forex reserves are down to just $ 6.5 billion of which $ 4 billion are due as repayment to the IMF next year.Whatever NS does he cannot he cannot possibly meet voter expectations over the economy immediately. It will take time and things may get worse before they get better. Besides, power will cost- If Pakistan buys power from India it will have to ensure that consumers pay for it and that will put up tariffs, never a pleasant thing.NS’s most pressing problem is undoubtedly civil military relations. Starting out as the army’s protégé he ended up its victim. Zardari brought peace with a three year extension for General Kayani. What will NS do? As the PM designate prepared to leave for the swearing he was held up so as let the army chief’s convoy through. Nawaz Sharif must assert civilian authority while keeping the army in good humour, because there are multiple and contradictory dualities to be negotiated in the trilateral relationship of the political executive, the armed groups and military authority, not to mention the inherent dualities of external relationships. On the face of it seems a hopeless task.The armed groups devoted to sectarian violence are now grouped, on the Sunni side, into one entity called Ahle Sunnat wal Jamaat (ASwJ), but it is fundamentally the old banned groups Sipah e Sahaba and the Lashkar e Jhangvi. Both PPP and the Muslim League (N) had seat adjustments with candidates of the ASwJ . As an allied force NS must turn them round to peaceful methods of disputation. Though the group can trace its origins to the encouragement Zia ul Haq, it is not regarded at present as an instrument of the army - Unlike the LeT, the organization devoted to Kashmir and in the words of Admiral Mullen a veritable arm of the ISI. The LeJ had worked actively in training and sending volunteers to Kashmir in association with Harkat ul Mujahideen, itself associated with Al Qaeda, and it was only after the army’s attack on Lal Masjid in 2007 that the connection with the army was broken. The Lal Masjid chief Maulvi Abdul Aziz was then taking orders from Al Qaida and its ideologues like Sheikh Essa holed up in South Waziristan. The Maulvi’s father and Zia ul Haq were friends as were Abdul Aziz himself with Ejaz ul Haq, son of the dictator and Musharraf’s Minister for Religious Affairs. The cross linkages between militant groups are formed and broken as alliances shift in response to the changing situation; yesterday’s friends are enemies today. Al Qaida wanted the Afghan Taliban to fight the Pakistan army because it was helping the Americans in Afghanistan. It therefore motivated Behtullah Mehsud to break away from Mullah Nazir of the Taliban and set up the TTP precisely to attack the Pakistani army at its weak points. This is the organization that the Pakistani army had to evict from Swat in the summer of 2009 and which briefly seemed to threaten Islamabad. LeJ’s link with the TTP put it in the enemy camp as far as the army is concerned, its earlier linkage with the Harkat ul Mujahideen (itself an Al Qaeda associate) over Kashmir now forgotten. This contradiction emerges from the LeT as well. It may be focussed against India, and on Kashmir, with the assistance of the ISI but the price it may have to pay is to be pitched against the TTP. On 8th June the Express Tribune of Pakistan reported Ehsanullah Ehsan spokesman of the TTP as saying that the LeT planned to attack it using the cover name of the Afghan Taliban.One can sympathize with Nawaz Sharif’s dilemma. The TTP considers him a friend but the army an enemy- It was willing to accept him as an arbitrator in its conflict with the Pakistani state. The ASwJ is also allied with the TTP. Such links as NS has with these groups are bound to make the army distrust him. In the system of militant alliances that have become state policy in Pakistan the army has the LeT firmly on its side but ASwJ and TTP lean towards the PM. On what terms can Nawaz Sharif possibly broker a deal between TTP and the army? Can he separate the ASwJ from the TTP and is he in a position to make the Punjab Taliban, recruited from South Punjab and allied to the TTP (via the LeJ and ASwJ) stand down and subordinate itself to the army? Can Pakistan recognize armed NGOs and give them de facto acceptance? Where will the Afghan Taliban stand in the internecine conflict of armed groups and Pakistan’s army?And then there is the matter of foreign policy. His voters want Nawaz to get the US to stop the drone attacks (which the army wants continued) and he must manage that while not losing US aid as he encourages it to exit Afghanistan while leaving behind a Pak friendly administration that includes the Taliban; who in turn must be persuaded not to attack remaining American bases. If that doesn’t isn’t enough, factor in his difficulties in befriending India without offending the Kashmir lobby in Pakistan, and the LeT which the Army wants kept happy as well.There are too many elements in Pakistan’s internal situation blocking a coherent domestic policy let alone one that will align comfortably with foreign policy goals even if the economic crisis is ignored. The economic crisis can resolve only if the domestic situation stabilizes, and that requires peace in the neighbourhood, which means of course that the Pakistani army should cease dictating on Pakistan’s foreign relationships. Pakistan’s armed groups were at least partly an instrument of fulfilling foreign policy objectives of the Pakistan army. Nawaz Sharif has done well therefore to take control of Foreign Policy personally. It may put him on the path of direct confrontation with Gen. Kayani but what options does the latter have left, embroiled as the army is not only in armed confrontation with its eastern and western neighbour but also with forces inside Pakistan. Pakistan cannot keep treading its old well worn ways and yet hope things will sort themselves out. As a wise man said ‘it is insanity to do the same thing over and over again and expect different results’. In electing Nawaz Sharif Pakistani voters have taken the best option available. Naturally Pakistan is his priority-everything else comes after. The army has to adjust and so must everyone else. brsnain@gmail.comhttp://www.greaterkashmir.com/news/2013/Jun/16/the-third-coming-of-nawaz-sharif-7.asp
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Friday, June 14, 2013
Text of Finance Minister Ishaq Dar’s Budget 2013-14 speech
Text of Finance Minister Ishaq Dar’s Budget 2013-14 speech
Following
is the text of the Budget speech delivered by the finance Minister Ishaq
Dar at the floor of the National Assembly on Wednesday, June 12, 2013.
Mr. Speaker,
1.
As I rise to present the first budget of the newly elected government I
want to thank Allah (SWT) for bestowing this singular honor on me. It
is not a mere occasion of presenting a budget. It is marking a major
transition in the country, where one elected government has completed
its full term and after holding the general elections, transition to a
new democratic government is being peacefully accomplished. The nation
should be proud of the fact that this one step is a leap forward in
establishing a democratic polity in the country.
2. As
the Prime Minister, in his address to the nation has said, a new
beginning in Pakistan is about to start. He has given the message of
HOPE and OPTIMISM. He has declared that Pakistanis are second to none
and that our destiny is nothing but progress. He will lead the nation 2
to a new world, where Pakistan will regain its lost status in the comity
of nations, reassert its due respect and identity in the world and
elicit due reverence and dignity in return.
3. On the
economic front he has laid out comprehensive a agenda of reform to
reinvigorate the economy, spur growth, maintain price stability, provide
jobs to the youth and rebuild the key infrastructure of the country.
Mr. Speaker,
4.
My enthusiasm, however, is seriously dampened as I discover that the
new government is inheriting a broken economy. From economic growth to
prices, from revenues to expenditure, from public debt to circular debt,
from monetary expansion to interest rates, from exchange rate to
foreign exchange reserves and sustainability of balance of payments, I
wish I could identify one single area where their economic management
was in the best national interest. Indeed, there has been complete
absence of management rather the economy was run on autopilot and its
inherent strengths and weaknesses played out at their own without any
real contribution of policy. Viewed in this perspective, the verdict of
the last elections may be termed as the public accountability of the
mismanagement practiced at an unprecedented level by the outgoing
government.
Mr. Speaker,
5. I will point
out four or five key indicators to allow the members to appreciate how
poorly the economy has performed in the last five years:
(1) The growth rate has averaged less than 3% in the last five years, which is significantly below our potential;
(2) The inflation has averaged around 13%, which is unprecedented in the last four decades;
(3) The exchange rate was around Rs.62/$ and it now stands at about Rs.100/$ depreciating by a whopping 60%;
(4)
State Bank Reserves were around $11.1 billion and they are leaving
behind $6.3 billion despite having obtained significant support from
IMF;
(5) There was virtually no circular debt of
mentionable size; today, and after paying about Rs1481 billion in tariff
differential subsidies, it is known to all that a gigantic circular
debt of more than Rs.500 billion is crippling the power sector and
fiscal system of the country.
(6) The average deficit in the last five years was recorded at about 7%, which is unprecedented in country’s recent history.
(7)
The public debt stood at Rs.5,602 billion on 31st March 2008, which is
now projected to rise to 14,284 billion by 30th June, 2013, implying a
2.5 times increase in country’s indebtedness. Even on the basis of Debt
to GDP comparison the ratio rose from 52.6% of GDP to 63.5% representing
an 4 increase of nearly 10 percentage points in country’s debt burden. I
might add here that the total public debt of Pakistan which accumulated
between 1947 and 30th June 1999 was around Rs.3000 billion.
6.
These are just a few glimpses of the economic landscape that PML (N)
has inherited. I have mentioned them for the sake of setting a benchmark
from where we are starting. We are dismayed by this inheritance but not
discouraged or disheartened. If any thing, our resolve to put things
right has only strengthened after realization of the severity of
challenges we are facing. Under the leadership of Mian Muhammad Nawaz
Sharif our party is determined to turn the tide and not just restore the
health of the economy but take it to new heights by enabling it to
realize its full potential.
Mr. Speaker,
7.
The budget I have the honor to present today is not a mere balancing of
revenues and expenditures of the government. It is the statement of
economic policy of the PML (N) government that we will pursue during the
course of our tenure. It is based on the Manifesto our party announced
before it launched its election campaign. In this respect, it is the
declaration of our intent to fulfill all promises that we made to the
nation while seeking this broad-based mandate the nation has bestowed on
Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif.
Economic Vision
Mr. Speaker,
8.
At the outset, I would like to articulate the economic vision that will
be guiding our efforts in rebuilding the economy. It comprises the
following elements:
(1) First, we want to build an
economy that is not dependent on others except through trade and
investment, based on competitive advantage and market considerations. We
are a strong nation of nearly 185 million people and a nuclear power.
As much as we need to defend our frontiers, we need to protect our
economic sovereignty also, which would only be possible when we refuse
to live on handouts and foreign goodwill. Self-reliance has to be our
real goal, for only then we will earn the needed respect in the ranks of
the nations.
(2) Second, the private sector has to be
the lynchpin of economic activities, shouldering the largest burden of
economic functions. A government too occupied in carrying out business
activities that can best be done by the private sector through a market
mechanism is indeed a prescription for distorting the entire economic
system and creating inequities in its functioning. Of course, markets
have to be regulated so that competitive environment is ensured.
Indeed, because we were too occupied in managing businesses we have
grossly neglected the regulatory role of 6 the government, to the
detriment of safeguarding consumers’ interests.
(3)
Third, the only areas where government’s presence in economic affairs
can be justified is where investments are too large for private sector
to undertake and/or markets are unlikely to function for lack of
adequate commercial returns even though social returns will be very
high, such as in education, health, population welfare and large
infrastructure projects. Since social sector functions have been
devolved to provinces, and for whom we will make adequate resources
available, at the federal level our primary focus would be to radically
alter and upgrade the fast depleting physical infrastructure of the
country, most notably in the case of power sector where widespread
shortages are seriously stifling the growth potential of our economy.
(4)
Fourth, all segments of the population must share the burden of
resource mobilization for running the government. The culture of
exemptions and concessions must end to build a self-reliant economy. By
the same token, if for reasons noted earlier, government has to
undertake an economic service, full cost of operations must be
recovered. Non-recovery of cost, through subsidies and non-payment, may
provide temporary relief, but it is an assured prescription for
disruptive supplies and unviable operations for the companies providing
those services.
(5) Fifth, government must limit itself
within the broader limits imposed by the available resources, primarily
determined by 7 revenues collected through different taxes. On this
account government’s performance generally has been dismal, as it has
been incurring expenditures far in excess of our income. I will say
more on this later in my speech.
(6) Sixth, we have to
protect our weak and poor segments of population. People of this country
or for that matter any other nation, are our real strength. The
marginalized groups represent a reservoir of potentialities which if
realized will change the destiny of any nation. It is in this
perspective that we have to treat our poor and weak segments of
population with care and inclusion. Such are also the groups most
vulnerable to extremist ideologies if neglected. Building a reliable and
accessible social safety net for these peoples is an imperative that we
will be committed to fulfill.
9. Even though this is a
simple vision we have strayed from this path for a long period of time.
In the meanwhile, powerful interest groups have emerged who would like
the country to continue to walk along the familiar but distorted path.
In our view, we have lost considerable time in failing to give a
predictable and stable path to our economy. We should not waste any more
time in creating a definite and unmistakable direction for our economy
so that investors can make long-term decisions, both domestic and
foreign and our identity, inherent in the above vision, is firmly
established in the eyes of the world.
10. This budget
will unfold the implementation plan for this vision. This vision will
not be realized tomorrow rather it is a long journey that we have 8 to
travel steadfastly. However, a journey of thousand miles starts with
first steps, and that is what, Mr. Speaker, this House will see that in
this budget we will be laying the foundations for realization of this
vision.
Main Elements of Budget Strategy
Mr. Speaker,
11.
Let me turn to specific policy measures we are adopting in the present
budget to address challenges facing the economy and their solutions:
(1)
Reduction of fiscal deficit: At the outset, let me state that the main
plank of our budget strategy is to reduce fiscal deficit so that its ill
effects that pervade through the entire economy can be avoided. The
revised estimate for deficit for 2012-13 is Rs.2024 billion or 8.8% of
the GDP and we plan to reduce it to Rs.1651 billion or by nearly 2.5
percentage points to 6.3% of the GDP. We need to further reduce it but
we have to do so gradually and in the medium term we do plan to reduce
it to 4% of GDP.
(2) Raising Tax Revenues: I will lay down tax policy and specific measures in the second part of my speech.
(3) Arresting Inflationary Pressures: The following measures will help in arresting the inflationary pressures:
i. Reduction in deficit will have salutary effect on inflation. 9
ii.
Regular price monitoring will be undertaken with a view to ensure
adequate supplies of all commodities. Extensive networks of Juma and
Itwar bazaars all across the country will be established and wherever
required imports will be used to ward-off of domestic shortages.
iii.
We will be using public savings and cheap foreign borrowings to finance
deficit and reduce the burden of debt servicing. New domestic saving
schemes will be introduced aimed at enhancing public access to
government securities which are presently heavily concentrated amongst
the banks and given their high spreads much of the benefits of
government borrowings are flowing to banks than to general depositors.
iv.
Finally, we will be inducting professional managers in debt management
and taking advantage of numerous opportunities to diversify our debts
both domestic and international.
v. Elimination of
borrowings from State Bank will be pursued vigorously. However, I am at
pain to point out that the SBP Act, 1956, which was amended by this
parliament in 2012 imposing two important constraints on the government
borrowings from the State Bank, which is basically printing of money,
has been consistently violated by the government. First, government
could borrow from SBP only for a 10 maximum period of 3 months, and at
the end of each quarter those borrowings will have to be retired.
Second, the then existing stock of debt from the State Bank, some
Rs.1400 billion, was to be retired in a period of 8 years. Rather than
any retirement, this stock of debt now stands at Rs.2300 billion. We are
now faced with this onerous responsibility to retire this debt in 6
years at the rate of nearly Rs.400 billion annually.
(4)
Resolving the Energy Crisis: Not withstanding its enormity, PML (N)
government is fully committed to solving the energy crisis facing the
nation. We have chalked out a program and we are inshallah putting it in
operation forthwith. The plan includes the following elements: First, I
am pleased to announce that Prime Minister Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif
has taken an historic decision to settle the entire circular debt in 60
days, so that every available and economically viable source of power
could be brought on line. Second, as a result of this, we are confident
that the duration of loadshedding in the country will begin to come
down. Third, for this monumental effort to have the desired effect on
the continued viability of the sector, it is imperative that we must do
all that is needed to stop its recurrence in the future. I urge all
consumers to pay their bills, for without recovery of cost no service
can be provided indefinitely. Fourth, the office of the Federal
Adjuster will be reorganized and strengthened so that it will ensure
expeditious recovery 11 of arrears of electricity from the provincial
governments. Fifth, Prime Minister will soon announce a comprehensive
plan to incentivize and encourage further investment in energy projects
in Pakistan.
(5) Nandipur Project: I would also like to
inform this House that a highly economical power project, Nandipur for
425 MW, which initially had a cost of Rs.23 billion was a victim of
criminal negligence and its imported machinery has remained stranded for
the last three years for want of clearance of certain documents from
government departments. Today its cost has risen to Rs.57 billion. We
have taken immediate cognizance of this situation and are making
necessary efforts to have the documents released and obtain fresh
approval from the competent forums. As soon as these are in place in the
next few weeks, work on its reconstruction will start immediately and
inshallah shall be completed in 18 months. In the meanwhile, let me make
it abundantly clear that all those responsible for inflicting this
phenomenal loss on the nation shall be brought to justice.
(6)
Reducing un-targeted subsidies: As I noted earlier, we must save
country’s finances by relieving it from the burden of un-targeted
subsidies. We are conscious of the need for the weaker sections of the
population to be helped by the government. Accordingly, any scheme of
subsidy, whether in electricity, gas, fertilizer, sugar and wheat must
be targeted to reach to those weaker segments. We therefore plan to
rationalize the present subsidies and discourage their 12 indiscriminate
use and evolve targeting mechanism to ensure that deserving recipients
should benefit from them.
(7) Improving Balance of
Payments: Our biggest woe at the moment is near absence of foreign
resources, critically needed to sustain our balance of payments and
provide additional resources for development. Inshallah, we are giving
an economic vision and implementing it in this budget that will
significantly raise the confidence of our development partners. We will
soon sort our issues with IFIs and normal flows will begin to flow in
the country. More importantly, we will ensure a transparent auction of
3-G licenses that will fetch about $1,200 million. We will also strive
to secure the payment of $800 million from the Etisalat that is due for
more than 5 years. On the back of improved relations with IFIs, we will
return to international capital markets so that additional resources can
be mobilized from this source also. We also plan to reinvigorate the
privatization program that will also provide us requisite foreign
resource and be a catalyst for revival of foreign investment in the
country.
(8) Creating New Jobs: As I have already stated,
much of the new jobs will have to be created primarily in the private
sector. However, government will also play its part in this regard. In a
short while I will give you more details of the public sector
development plan. For now, let me say that despite reducing fiscal
deficit we are raising the development expenditure from a budgeted
Rs.360 billion in the current year to Rs.540 billion which is a
significant increase of nearly 13 50%. The provincial governments will
make another investment of about Rs.615 billion taking the total public
sector investment to Rs.1,155 billion which is a healthy 4.4% of GDP.
Clearly, there is room for further increase in development spending but
given the resource constraint we have protected development expenditure
and increasing it also as compared to current expenditures. This
investment will create numerous jobs in various sectors of the economy
and spur other economic activities, which will create further
opportunities for gainful pursuits by our people.
(9)
Raising Investment for Growth: Our biggest economic challenge is to
radically increase the level of investment in the economy. I have
already noted some of the steps we are taking to reduce budget deficit,
bring down inflation and pave the way for a reduction in the interest
rate, all of which will make room for private investment.
(10)
Reforming Public Sector Corporations: We are determined to fully reform
and restructure public sector corporations so that their bleeding is
stopped. At the outset, we have decided to appoint professional managers
in all public sector corporations through a competitive and transparent
process of recruitment. All such corporations that can be profitably
privatized will be put to a credible process of privatization. Finally,
where privatization is not a possible option either a management
contract will be negotiated or fully independent management will be
inducted to run the corporations on pure professional grounds. 14
Alongside, full financial restructuring will be carried out to enable
them to run on sound commercial basis.
(11) Protecting
the Poor: In its manifesto, the PML (N) has outlined a detailed strategy
for social protection. Indeed, I am pleased that in 2008 when PML (N)
was part of the federal government for a brief period, as Finance
Minister I had designed a project of income support fund. It was a
program for supplementing the income of poorest of families on totally
apolitical basis with a clear methodology for identifying the target
population. However, the purity of the program was compromised and it
was also politicized. We owe to our poor families that such a program
should continue with appropriate safeguards and should in fact be
extended to a larger portion of the target population. I am pleased to
announce that the Prime Minister Mian Nawaz Sharif has decided that the
Income Support Program will continue and will also be expanded. From
Rs.40 billion spent under the program last year, we will be raising its
size to Rs.75 billion, which is nearly doubling of the program.
However,
we will bring significant changes in its design and build an explicit
exit strategy for the recipients to ensure that this support does not
promote dependency rather it only helps them break out from poverty and
be able to find a job. I am also pleased to announce that the amount of
Rs.1000 per month under the income support program is increased by 20%
to Rs.1200 per month. 15
Medium-term macroeconomic framework
Mr. Speaker,
12.
These are immediate challenges and our responses as we tackle them. But
our vision requires deeper reflection on the problems of our economy.
There has to be a long-term view of enhancing country’s productive
capacity. Accordingly, this budget is part of a medium term framework
spanning 2013-14 to 2015-16 and hence we have a larger time frame in
mind while formulating our economic policy. The key features of this
framework are:
(a) GDP growth to gradually rise to 7% by FY 2015-16.
(b) Inflation will be maintained in single digit throughout the medium term.
(c) Investment to GDP ratio will rise to 20% at the end of medium term.
(d) Fiscal deficit to be brought to 4% of GDP by 2015-16.
(e) Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves will be increased to more than $20 billion at the end of medium term.
13.
Evidently, these targets are ambitious but these are imperative for the
revival of the economy and quite consistent with its potential.
Besides, we have the determination to turn around the destiny of this
nation and its for this reason people have given us this mandate. 16
Development plan
Mr. Speaker,
14.
Let me now share some of the key initiatives that we are taking in the
development budget. I will keep my attention to only those sectors that
will contribute most to the economic development.
Water
15.
Allah (SWT) has blessed Pakistan with one of the best water resources
in the world. We have also inherited an extensive network of irrigation
canals, water courses and barrages and our early leadership had the
vision of building such mega projects as Tarbela and Mangla that have
enabled us to support our agriculture, so central to our economic life.
But unfortunately we have failed to add to such critical projects or
maintain these precious assets. To meet the growing needs of water it is
imperative that we build new reservoirs and use every cusec of
available water for development of energy.
16. It is this
vision in view that is reflected in our development plan allocation for
the water sector. We are investing Rs.59 billion for the water sector
projects that will include such projects as Katchi Canal (Dera Bugti and
Nasirabad), Rainee Canal (Ghotki and Sukkur), Kurram Tangi Dam (North
Waziristan), Extension of Pat Feeder Canal to Dera Bugti, Gomal Zam Dam
(South Waziristan), Ghabir Dam (Chakwal), completion of Mangla Dam
raising, lining of water courses in Sindh and Punjab, flood protection
and drainage schemes all over the country. 17 Power Mr. Speaker
17.
I need not underline the significance of the power sector in Pakistan
and what our people are suffering due to widespread shortages. Nothing
has consumed the time and energy of PML (N) leadership more than the
problem of energy and its immediate resolution. There are some urgent
but durable steps we are taking that I have announced in the budget to
resolve the central problem behind the energy crisis, namely the
circular debt. However, our real concern is to develop additional
resources of energy so as to permanently overcome the problem of
shortages. The largest amount of resources, accordingly, is being
devoted to create more economical capacity in the country. During the
current year a sum of Rs.225 billion will be invested in this sector of
which Rs.107 billion will come from the PSDP and the remaining will be
mobilized by PEPCOWAPDA through government support. The projects
included in the program include Neelum-Jehlum Hydro Power Project (1000
MW), DiamirBhasha Dam and Hydropower Project (4500 MW), Tarbela Fourth
Extension Project (1410 MW), Thar Coal Gasification Project (100 W),
Chashma Civil Nuclear Power project (600 MW), Two Karachi Nuclear
Coastal Power Projects (2200 MW) with Chinese assistance, Keyal Khawar
Hydro Project (122 MW), Allai Khawar Hydro Project (122 MW), Combined
Cycle Power Projects at Nandipur and Chichiki Malian (950 MW),
Upgradation of Guddu Power Project (747 MW gas-based), conversion of oil
based power projects to coal at Muzaffargarh and Jamshoro (3,120 MW)
and numerous projects to improve the transmission lines, grid-stations
and distribution systems. 18
18. It can be judged that we
have a long-term plan to add cheap power to the national grid and
substitute the current dependence on fuel oil to cheaper alternatives.
The improvements in fuel mix will mean future tariffs will not be rising
as fast as they have been in the recent past.
Highways
Mr. Speaker,
19.
Since the time Mian Nawaz Sharif took the bold decision of building the
Islamabad-Lahore Motorway, no comparable project has been undertaken,
despite the fact that since its construction the size of the economy has
increased manifold and indigenous needs for connectivity are also
multiplying. It is with this urgency that we have carefully examined the
entire portfolio of national highways and have reprioritized it in
accordance with the needs of the country.
20. Both urban
and rural populations need communications for their economics. Farmers
will not be able to get good prices for their produce nor can urban
producers be cost effective in the absence of communication links that
can efficiently transport their products to target markets. Indeed, we
must treat development of efficient communication as an important
instrument of poverty reduction, since a significant number of poor
people are disconnected with the places of economic opportunities and
remain poor for lack of access to such places. 19
21. It
is amazing that Gwadar Port was constructed and no significant effort
was made to provide connectivity with the north even though nearly a
decade has passed since its completion. Coastal Highway was made to
bring things to Karachi, completely neutralizing the benefits that were
supposed to accrue with a new port at Gwadar.
22. We are
according top most priority to connect the Gwadar Port to the north by
rapidly completing the various sections of Turbat-BasimaRatodero and
other smaller sections of M-8 so that the real benefits of the port will
begin to flow to the people. We will also accelerate the work on M-4
connecting Faisalabad to Khanewal and Multan. We plan to undertake a
fresh initiative to build M-9 linking Karachi-Hyderabad on Public
Private Partnership basis and we are confident that we will succeed in
executing this project within the shortest possible time. Let me
announce the commitment of our government regarding motorways: the
entire system of motorways planned by NHA will be completed during the
next five years. This network will guarantee vast expansion in domestic
trade, significant reduction in cost of transportation of goods from
north to south, cheap transport for people to move around in different
parts of the country and increased opportunities of tourism in the
country.
23. Besides, the motorway network we have opened
a preliminary dialogue with the Chinese government for constructing a
high quality modern expressway linking Gwadar with Kashgar. This will be
the modern equivalent of ancient silk-route. This is a visionary
project and will unleash an historic progress in the region and provide a
critical opening for Pakistan with our northern neighborhood. 20
24.
Apart from these strategic projects, we are investing in a large number
of national highways, bridges, rehabilitation and reconstruction of
national roads destroyed by the floods and regional roads for
connectivity. A sum of about Rs.73 billion has been kept in the budget
for the road sector. Numerous job opportunities will be created while
undertaking the above projects.
Railways
Mr. Speaker,
25.
One of the most unfortunate examples of wasting our inherited
infrastructure at the time of Partition can be found in the state in
which our railway is found today. Once a most effective, extensive and
efficient network of communication is not even a shade of its past. The
speed with which the railways’ significance in the transport sector has
declined indicates that it is headed for near extinction. This is simply
unacceptable. The world over, rail transport is regaining its lost
glory as more investments are made and faster trains are built for both
passenger and goods transport. What is more, this mode has been declared
as environment friendly and hence it should be preferable to vehicular
traffic that is degrading our road infrastructure and increases our
dependence on fossil fuels.
26. Our railway is the victim
of bad governance, low investments in maintenance, induction of new
locomotives, upgradation of rolling stocks, replacement and
modernization of primitive signaling system, efficient 21 communication
network, track maintenance and doubling of the track on mainline.
Stagnant tariffs, declining market share in both passenger and goods
transport, rapidly falling revenues have all contributed to bringing
railway to a point where its pay and pension, of nearly Rs.34 billion,
is paid through a subsidy from the government.
27. An
inherently commercial and profitable organization today stands in a
state of huge losses, countless stores of precious amounts of refused
rails, rolling stocks, locomotives and rebuilding factories suffering
from low capacity utilization. It is, however, not a poor organization,
as it owns priceless lands, the main artery of rail link and large
number of branches connecting far flung areas of the country, numerous
bridges, countless buildings, factories, historic railway stations and a
very large cadre of technical and civil servants. They are highly
skilled, but presently they are demoralized and demotivated, as they see
no hope for their betterment tomorrow. The real problem, therefore, in a
sense, is not lack of resources, but their utterly inefficient
utilization. All this can be changed with leadership, vision, commitment
and a plan, to be faithfully implemented, that would aim at complete
leveraging of railway assets, infrastructure and improving incentives of
employees to perform better.
28. We are committed to
revive Pakistan Railways and lay the foundation for restoration of its
past glory. Minister for Railways is developing a detailed plan for the
above purpose, but let me outline the basic features of the agenda we
shall pursue:
(a) Through an Act of the Parliament,
Pakistan Railways will be converted into a proper corporation, with due
security of job and terms and conditions of the employment of the
existing employees;
(b) The railway shall be managed by
an independent Board to be drawn from amongst the professionals from the
fields of public transport, engineering, management, accountancy,
finance, law and public administration;
(c) With the
approval of the Board and the Federal Government, railway administration
will design a policy for public private partnerships for the profitable
utilization of all railway assets.
(d) Development
funding for railway will be gradually increased for locomotives,
doubling of track, addition to rolling stocks, rehabilitation of
signaling system and modernization of communication links. Next we are
allocating Rs.31 billion for different projects of railway compared to
the revised estimate of Rs.20 billion for 2012-13;
(e)
Feasibility studies will be completed for linking Pakistan through rail
from Gwadar to Afghanistan, on one side, and Gwadar to China, on the
other;
(f) Karachi Circular Railway project will be expedited through the help of Government of Japan;
Human Development
Mr. Speaker,
29.
The most precious resources of any nation are their people. Indeed, it
is said that the real development is embodied in the people, no matter
how much of its outer manifestation is reflected in physical
developments. Accordingly, we must treat expenditures on human
development as investments as they lay the foundation of future growth
at an accelerated pace.
30. Incidentally, the three main
subjects of human development, namely education, health and population
welfare have been devolved to the provinces under the 18th
Constitutional Amendment. However, the responsibility for higher
education, regulatory responsibilities and international coordination
remain with the federal government. I would like to mention the
following. Initiatives that will be undertaken for the promotion of this
sector:
(a) A sizeable allocation of Rs.18 billion has
been made for the Higher Education Commission, which will support
development plans of different universities all over the country. It may
be noted that on the current side also a hefty allocation of Rs.39
billion is made for HEC. Thus a combined outlay of Rs.57 billion will be
made for higher education.
(b) The enrollment in higher
education will increase from 1.08 million students in 2012-13 to 1.23
million students in 24 2013-14, showing an increase of 14% in the
population of students pursuing higher education;
(c) The number of foreign scholarships will rise to 6,249 from 4,249, showing an increase of 2000 scholarships during 2013-14.
(d)
Federal Government, despite devolution, is continuing to fund a number
of national health initiatives. This year we are allocating nearly Rs.26
billion for these programs.
(e) The programs include
Expanded Program of Immunization (EPI), National Maternal Neonatal and
Child Health Program, National Program for Family Planning and Primary
Healthcare and several national programs for prevention and control of
important diseases such as blindness, TB, Hepatitis and AVN Influenza.
(f)
Most importantly, funding for the provincial programs for population
welfare will continue to be provided by the federal government. This
year an allocation of nearly Rs.9 billion is made for this purpose.
Industry and Regional Trade
Mr. Speaker,
31.
It is now well known that over the last five years our industry has
been suffering from gross neglect of policymakers, lack of institutional
support, energy bottlenecks, absence of adequate credit facilities, and
poor state of infrastructure, poor governance and burdensome regulatory
regimes across both provincial and federal governments. These are very
serious impediments and not surprisingly, as a consequence, investment
25 has declined sharply in the country during the last five years and
industrial growth has averaged a paltry 1.8 percent. With this growth
rate, we cannot possibly hope to attain the overall growth rate of 7
percent that we have targeted to achieve by the last year of our medium
term budgetary framework 2015-16.
32. We are conscious of
the centrality of the manufacturing sector in the overall socioeconomic
development of Pakistan and its potential to create jobs for our youth.
Our plans will remain unrealistic unless we are able to revive the
industrial sector. I would like to announce the following measures that
we will undertake in the near future to accelerate industrial
development in the country:
(1) The policy of developing
Export Promotion Zones with comprehensive incentive packages, which we
had earlier supported with enthusiasm, will be reviewed and necessary
amendments made to make it more attractive.
(2) In
collaboration with the provincial governments new industrial estates
will be established throughout Pakistan, fully equipped to provide all
the required infrastructure for industrial undertakings.
(3)
Even while in Opposition, we played a pivotal role in introducing the
Special Economic Zones Act 2012. This legislation required earnest
commitment and serious effort to bear fruit.
Not much has
been done to put this Act in operation. We will now bring this
legislation to fruition by 26 implementing it in letter and spirit,
backed by a strong public policy commitment.
(4) We have a
comprehensive plan to develop the Gwadar Special Economic Zone, which
will be watershed for the economy of not just Balochistan, but of the
whole country. The Zone will be linked with major economic centers in
Pakistan as well as neighboring countries. Through Gwadar, we hope to
make Pakistan a regional center and conduit of international trade,
especially with China and Central Asia. The potential of transformation
of Pakistan becoming a regional gateway of international trade is
limitless.
(5) We will earnestly develop strong trade
relationships with all our neighbors, primarily to expand markets for
industries and to improve the regional terms of trade.
(6)
State institutions will be strengthened to provide a healthy, reliable,
and conducive economic environment for the growth of trade, commerce
and industry.
(7) With improved macroeconomic framework, more credit will be available for the private sector investment.
(8)
The revival of privatization program will create more opportunities for
the private sector to invest and manage newer assets that were
previously run in the public sector.
Housing
Mr. Speaker,
33.
A ‘roof over the head’ is the right of every Pakistani. Unfortunately,
the housing gap is rising ever so fast in the country. While the private
sector land developers have catered for the needs of the middle and
upper-middle classes, nothing has been done to provide decent housing
for the low and lower-middle classes. With no prospect of profitmaking,
it is quite understandable that the private sector remained oblivious to
the needs of these otherwise very important societal groups. During our
last tenure, we introduced housing schemes for the poorest of poor
throughout the country, especially in the rural and semi-urban areas.
Under these schemes, land was provided free of cost. Although Ministry
of Housing and Works is developing the detailed plan, I would like to
share the main features of the policy on provision of housing to the
poor:
(1) Wherever feasible, 3-Marla housing schemes will
developed on government land for the homeless, to whom plots will be
given free of cost (2) At least 1,000 clusters of 500 houses each will
be developed for low-income families through public private partnerships
(3) To ensure cost-effective access to credit for housing, government
will be picking up a portion of the financing cost on behalf of the
borrower. A provision of Rs.3.5 billion is kept in the budget for this
purpose;
(4) Schemes on the model of Ashiyana Housing
Scheme will also be developed in which the government will provide 28
opportunities to low income families to own their house on payment of
easy installments.
Budget Estimates
Mr. Speaker,
34. Let me place before the House the estimates of revenues and expenditures for the next fiscal year.
35.
For 2013-14, the gross revenue receipts of the federal government are
estimated at Rs.3,420 billion compared to the revised figures of
Rs.2,837 billion for 2012-13, showing an increase of about 21%. This is
remarkable revenue effort we are projecting and I shall share more
details of this in Part-II of my speech.
36. The share of
the provinces out of this amount will be Rs.1,502 billion compared to
Rs.1,221 billion last year, and showing an increase of about 23%. Net
resources left with the federal government will be Rs.1,918 billion
compared to the revised estimates of Rs.1,616 billion for last year,
showing an increase of about 19%. The level of transfers to the
provinces is historic. We are happy to share this larger revenue as
under the new constitutional arrangements provincial responsibilities,
particular relating to social sectors have been significantly enhanced.
We are sure that higher resource transfer will enable them to bring the
critical social services and law and order facilities to the doorstep of
our people. 29 37. Total expenditure for 2013-14 is budgeted at
Rs.3,591 billion compared to the revised estimates of Rs.3,577 billion
for 2012-13, showing a negligible increase. This is the first indication
of an austere budget in line with the imperatives of the economy. The
current budget is estimated at Rs.2,829 billion for 2013-14 against a
revised estimate of Rs.2,720 billion for 2012-13, showing an increase of
4%. However, keeping in view the development needs, investment
requirements of the country and urgency of creating additional job
opportunities, we have provided adequate development resources. Against a
budgeted estimate of Rs.360 billion for PSDP, we have budgeted it at
Rs.540 billion showing an increase of nearly 50%.
38. The
federal deficit is projected at Rs.1,674 billion for 2013-14 compared
to the revised estimate of Rs.1,962 billion for last year. By requiring a
small surplus of Rs.23 billion from the provinces, compared to a
revised deficit of Rs.41 billion last year, we have projected an overall
fiscal deficit of Rs.1,651 billion for 2013-14 compared to the revised
estimate of Rs.2024 billion last year. This gives deficit to GDP ratio
of 6.3% for 2013-14 compared to an alarmingly large deficit of 8.8%
incurred last year.
Mr. Speaker,
39. It is
evident that our government is laying the foundation of a sound
economy, which is the most important challenge our country is facing. We
have not gone for populism but have responded to the imperative of the
30 situation in hand. An adjustment of nearly 2.5% is not a mean
achievement and we are confident that we will deliver it.
PART-II
Mr. Speaker,
41. Allow me to start Part II of my speech, which relates to taxation proposals.
42.
As a nation, we need to make appropriate decisions so that Pakistan can
live within its own means, bring down deficit to reasonable limit and
mobilize requisite resources for development. 43. The PML (N)
Government seeks to encourage overall economic activity in the country
and create an conducive environment which facilitates genuine investors
and business. As we all know, when business flourishes, employment
opportunities are created, investment flows into the country and
ultimately, there is peace and prosperity.
Mr. Speaker,
44.
To achieve these objectives, the Government has decided not to put
additional burdens on those people who are already paying their due
share of tax, but to make efforts to ensure that those who are not
paying anything should be forced to contribute something to the national
exchequer. The revival of national economy is the main focus of the PML
(N) government. This requires fundamental and structural reforms in the
area of Taxation.
Mr. Speaker,
45. The
earlier PML (N) government raised Tax to GDP ratio to 13%, which was the
result of simplification of tax laws, making taxes broad based,
plugging loopholes in the system and holding tax machinery more
accountable. The reform process was halted with the illegal and
arbitrary dismissal of the PML (N) government and as a result, the Tax
to GDP ratio declined gradually and is presently at alarming rate of 9%.
The focus of the budget 2013-14 is improvement in Tax to GDP ratio
finally reaching to 15% by 2018.
Mr. Speaker,
46.
The immense economic challenges being faced by the country require a
smooth flow of revenue generated through our own resources, reducing
reliance on aid and foreign loans. It is of utmost importance that we
become self reliant. The country is going through a severe energy
crisis. Mobilization of adequate resources is required to address this
issue so that suffering of our people are mitigated.
Mr. Speaker,
47.
The broad themes of our government’s taxation policy are (i) taxing
those who are not paying any tax, (ii) enhancing efficiency of the tax
machinery, (iii) removing anomalies and distortions in the tax system,
(iv) simplifying the tax procedures, (v) broadening of the tax base,
(vi) rationalization of tax rates and exemptions, (vii) encouraging 33
corporatization and documentation (viii) taxpayers facilitation and (ix)
to eradicate maladministration and corruption in F.B.R.
Mr. Speaker,
48.
A fair and equitable tax system lays more emphasis on direct taxes, so
that the affluent classes of society pay more. Unfortunately, in our
taxation system, indirect taxes have a major share, leading to tax
burden on common man. This year, a paradigm change has been made in
proposing tax measures, as the overwhelming revenue proposals relate to
direct taxes.
Income Tax
Mr. Speaker,
49.
A number of relief measures are being proposed under the Income Tax
Ordinance through this Finance Bill. These measures are highlighted
below:
(1) With effect from fiscal year 2014-15, the
maximum corporate tax rate will be reduced by 1% annually to coming down
to 30% from the present 35%. This will promote a culture of
corporatization in the country;
(2) The income tax
exemption of 5 years for investments made in Special Economic Zones will
be increased to 10 years. This will be helpful in increasing
investments in such zones; 34
(3) The facility of
exemption certificate for the manufacturers on import of raw material
was withdrawn a few years back which adversely affected the cash flow
and resulted in overpayments and creation of refunds. In order to
facilitate the manufacturing sector, facility of exemption certificate
on import of raw material is being reintroduced subject to payment of
tax liability determined for any of the preceding two years, which is
higher.
(4) Currently goods transport vehicles are
subjected to minimum tax on services and income tax paid at the time of
payment of provincial motor vehicle tax, which is final tax. This
renders the transport sector to double taxation, which is unjustifiable.
For the facilitation of the transport sector, Income Tax paid along
with provincial motor vehicle tax is being made adjustable.
(5)
The facility of carry forward of Unadjusted Minimum Tax was restricted
to the corporate sector which was discriminatory to the non-corporate
sector. In order to provide a level playing field to all taxpayers, this
facility is also being extended to Individuals and AOPs.
(6)
Likewise, reduction in Minimum Tax was restricted to the distributors
of cigarettes in corporate sector. Being discriminatory to small
taxpayers working in the status of AOPs and Individuals of this sector,
reduced rate of minimum tax is also being extended to the individuals
and AOPs. 35 Broadening of Income Tax.
50. It is well
known that our tax base is extremely narrow. The most important need of
tax reforms is to broaden the net as widely as possible to bring in all
those people who have the ability to pay taxes. It is equally desirable
that those who are already in the net should face a rational,
predictable and simple regime for tax compliance. For all these
objectives following measures are being adopted:
(1) Huge
expenses are incurred on functions such as marriages etc. but remain
un-documented, which restricts a proper analysis of income earnings. In
order to document such expenses an adjustable withholding tax is being
introduced which the Hotels/Clubs/Marriage Halls/Restaurants etc. shall
collect from persons arranging the functions. Being an adjustable tax,
people shall be encouraged to file income tax returns, which shall serve
the purpose of broadening of tax base;
(2) To align
income tax and sales tax and to discourage fake invoices, it is proposed
that all persons registered under the sales tax law shall be made
withholding agents for Income Tax purpose on payments on account of
purchases, services and contracts;
(3) To ensure that the
taxpayers do not abuse the facilities and reliefs provided in the
Income Tax Law to avoid proper taxation by consistently declaring losses
and contribute to the exchequer equitably, the rate of minimum tax
shall be enhanced from 0.5% to 1%.
(4) The construction
sector contributes Rs.1 billion to the national exchequer, which is not
proportionate to its potential. Its taxation is normally spread over
multiple years depending upon the period of construction. In order to
simplify taxation of construction sector minimum tax on builders and
developers is proposed. The tax shall be paid at a the rate of Rs.50 per
sq. ft. of the constructed area; or Rs.100 per square yard of the
developed land, as the case may be.
(5) The rates of tax
on salary introduced last year overburdened the middle-income group.
This anomaly has been corrected through this Finance Bill by
rationalizing the rates of tax on salaries in way that each income group
pays tax according to its capacity.
(6) Rate of tax on
Business individuals and AOPs shall be rationalized with the addition of
two new slabs. This will gradually increase the rate from current
maximum of 25% for income exceeding Rs.2.5 million to 35% for income
above Rs.6 million.
(7) To encourage corporatization,
separate rates of WHT for non-corporate taxpayers i.e. commercial
imports, contracts, supplies and services are being proposed.
(8)
New adjustable withholding tax is being proposed for foreign-based
films and dramas to make them competitive with the local film industry.
(9)
To bring dealers/Arhtis of commodities in tax net, WHT on the basis of
registration category is being introduced. Market committees shall
collect this adjustable tax from such dealers.
(10) To
tax affluent class on the basis of its expenses, it is proposed that
adjustable withholding tax may be introduced @ 5% on annual fee of
Rs.200,000 paid to an educational institution.
(11)
Traders are not contributing to the tax revenue in keeping with their
share in GDP. Adjustable withholding tax is accordingly proposed to be
collected from wholesalers and retailers in specified sectors @ 0.1% and
0.5%. The rate of tax to be collected from wholesalers and dealers is
being reduced to 0.1% from 0.5%. The manufacturers, distributors and
commercial importers shall collect this tax.
(12)
Agriculture sector enjoys exemption from payment of federal tax but this
facility has been misused as untaxed non agriculture income is
concealed in the garb of agriculture income. In order to check the
misuse of law, it is proposed that credit of agricultural income shall
be given only if provincial income tax on such income has been paid. It
will also facilitate in enhancing the revenue of Provinces from
agricultural income.
(13) The law for obtaining
information from bank regarding its customers is being aligned with
international practices. The objective is to strengthen the National
data warehouse at FBR for tax base broadening.
(14) In
order to expand the tax base, it is decided to utilize data collected by
the Federal Board of Revenue and NADRA in 38 a systematic manner. In
this regard profiling of 500,000 persons identified on the basis of
financial transactions traced shall be carried out. Besides, display of
NTN at business premises is also being made mandatory to broaden the tax
net. These measures will increase out reach of the department and
promote the culture of voluntary compliance.
Introduction of Income Support Levy Act
Mr. Speaker,
51.
It is incumbent on all of us who are blessed with exceptional favors
from Allah (SWT) to contribute to the welfare of those not so fortunate.
Many of us who may have earned our assets while working abroad have
negligible tax liabilities under the existing laws and double taxation
treaties. Yet we must share the burden of helping our weaker segments of
population. In order to mobilize additional resources for enhancing the
income support program for the poorest families in Pakistan, it is
proposed to impose a small levy on such persons. This levy shall apply
on net moveable assets of persons on a given date @ of 0.5%. The
receipts under this head will be credited to income support program of
the government. Voluntary contributions will be also be solicited to
mobilize additional resources. Let me admit that I shall be amongst the
first ones who will be hit by this levy. According to my estimation, I
will have to pay an additional Rs.2.5 million on this count this year,
but I will be too happy to make this contribution for the welfare of our
poor people.
Sales Tax and Excise Duty
Mr. Speaker,
52.
Several measures have been proposed for broadening the bases of sales
tax and excise duties for bringing into the tax net those who have
remained outside so far. Our policy is that persons who remain
unregistered will have to bear a greater burden than those who are
registered. These measures are highlighted below.
(1) An
additional amount of sales tax of 5% is being imposed through
electricity and gas bills of those having commercial or industrial
connections but remain unregistered. Once they get registered, it will
no longer apply to them.
(2) All taxable supplies made to
unregistered persons will include 2% further tax, for encouraging
registration. Again, once they get registered, they will no longer have
to bear this charge.
(3) The sales tax withholding
agents will now withhold the full amount of sales tax on purchases made
from such unregistered persons.
(4) Certain important
measures are being initiated to enhance the efficiency of the tax
machinery and increase its enforcement capacity. These measures are
explained here.
(5) To reduce leakage in sectors prone to
evasion, the government is planning to initiate electronic monitoring
of 40 production processes through video links, tax stamps and labels,
electronic tracking, etc. Effective monitoring without human
intervention will help introduce a transparent, automatic, and
error-free way to ensure proper payment of taxes by these sectors.
(6)
FBR has already developed a sophisticated computerized system, called
CREST, which has recently helped to detect and recover billions of
rupees from the textile sector. This system will be enhanced and
expanded, so that leakages of revenue in other sectors can also be
detected and recovered.
(7) It is also proposed to
introduce a simplified and centralized mechanism to block illegal
refunds and input tax adjustments, to stop fake and flying invoices, and
to prevent bogus registered persons from committing tax frauds.
(8)
To ensure proper monitoring of taxable activities, the registration of
registered persons will be placed in the jurisdiction where its business
premises are located.
(9) In view of serious resource
constraint it is imperative that additional resources should be
mobilized immediately. Accordingly, it is proposed to raise the
standard rate of sales tax from 16% to 17%.
(10) Supplies
made under international tenders used to be zero-rated, but were made
exempt last year to stop creation of refunds and associated
malpractices. However, this measure created a disadvantage for local 41
competitors, as they could no longer claim input tax adjustment. To
create a level playing field for both local and foreign competitors for
international tenders, it has been decided to remove the disparity and
place both local and foreign competitors under the same standard tax
regime.
(11) Zero-rating of sales tax on local supplies
tends to create distortions and promotes malpractices. But since
ordinary people also use many of these zero-rated items, sales tax is
not being imposed on them and they are being exempted from sales tax.
(12)
It has been decided to expand the list of items in the Third Schedule
to the Sales Tax Act. The measures will not only require manufacturers
and importers to print retail prices on consumer goods, but also enable
the government to capture the tax involved till the retail stage instead
of the benefit going to unregistered wholesalers and retailers.
(13)
The five export-oriented sectors were enjoying zerorating on local
supplies over the past several years, which has recently been changed to
a reduced rate regime. However, even expensive imported goods like
branded clothes, leather bags, and sports goods are enjoying the reduced
rate of 2%. Some items enjoying the reduced rates have multi-purpose
use in other industries, which creates distortions. To remove these 42
problems, finished goods and items having multi-purpose use are being
taken out of the reduced rate regime.
(14) In 2010, due
to the prevailing situation, a general exemption of duties and taxes was
extended to the tribal areas and some districts of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa.
These were supposed to be time-bound exemptions, and the income tax
exemption has already expired. However, the notifications for sales tax
and federal excise exemptions did not have any expiry clause. The
continued exemption is creating a distortion and difficulties for
businesses in other regions. It is, therefore, proposed to be withdrawn.
(15) In case of federal excise, manufacturers of edible
oil and ghee complained of distortion, as those using locally produced
oil or imported oilseeds were not paying any tax. To remove this
anomaly, locally produced oil and imported oilseed are being subjected
to the similar tax regime as imported edible oil.
(16)
Presently, financial services offered by banking and nonbanking sectors
are subject to federal excise duty. There is no duty if other persons
provide the same services. To remove this disparity, it is proposed that
federal excise duty at the same rate may be imposed on all such
financial services.
(17) At present, imported edible oil
is subject to tax. However, canola seed is being freely imported. This
is not only a disparity but also hurts the local oil seed production. To
43 remove this disparity, it has been decided to impose federal excise
duty @ 40 paisa per kilogram on imported canola seed.
(18)
The Federal excise duty on cigarettes is simplified and re-structured,
from three slabs based on a composite formula, to two slabs based on a
specific rate.
(19) It is proposed to allow the aerated
beverage industry to pay tax on capacity or fixed basis. It would not
only facilitate them, but would help them contribute a handsome
additional amount to the exchequer. It would eliminate corruption and
make the system transparent and clear. It will also encourage the
industry to expand. The detailed notification for implementing the new
regime will be issued shortly.
Customs
Mr. Speaker,
53.
Let me say that Pakistan’s import regime over the decades has become
fraught with a complex system of discriminatory exemptions and
concessions. Every year national exchequer suffers a cost of Rs. 100
billion on account of these exemptions. In today’s world of free trade
and level playing field this cannot go on. We have to adopt a simple tax
and tariff structure by abolishing the culture of SROs.
54.
In order to resolve this long protracted issue, a high level committee
headed by Chairman, FBR is being constituted. The committee will 44
examine and finalize its report after consulting all the stakeholders
and submit its recommendations to the ECC for tariff rationalization and
minimization of concessionary regime.
55. Power shortage
has become a chronic problem for the whole country. While major
initiatives are being taken to address the power generation and supply
situation, a major shift towards the use of renewable energy resources
is also a need of the time. In this context various measures are being
included in the current budget to encourage use of alternate energy
resources by simplifying the procedure for duty free import of solar and
wind energy machinery and equipment. At the same time, duty on energy
saving devices like energy saving tubes, solar water pumps etc. is also
being exempted.
56. Despite prevailing economic
situation, every possible effort is being made to provide some respite
to the suffering poor of Pakistan. Availability of clean water is
fundamental right of every Pakistani. In order to address the spread of
water borne diseases through use of filtered water, rate of customs
duties on water filtration equipment is being reduced.
57.
Use of imported POL products as a major source of energy has not only
led to high import bill, but has also created a negative environmental
impact. Therefore, use of alternate energy efficient Hybrid Electric
Vehicles (HEVs) needs to be encouraged. It is, therefore, proposed that
HEVs up to 1200cc will be exempt from duties and other taxes. From
1201cc to 1800cc 50% relief from duties and other taxes will be provided
45 and from 1801cc to 2500cc, 25% relief is proposed. No relief will be
available for vehicles beyond 2500cc.
58. Betel nuts and
betel leaves are injurious to health. In order to discourage their
consumption, custom duty on both these items shall be increased.
Mr. Speaker,
59.
The proposed tax measures are the most important need of the economy.
It will help us in reducing fiscal deficit and also reduce our
dependence on external resources. Thus this is an important move toward
achieving self-reliance.
PART-III
New Programs for Youth
Mr. Speaker,
60.
One of the key messages Prime Minister had given during election
campaign was his commitment to toward the welfare of our youth. Amongst
all sections of our population it is our youth that must not be struck
despair and despondency. It is in fulfillment of his promises with the
youth that following new programs will be launched in next year’s
budget:
(1) Prime Minister’s Youth Training Program:
Amongst the youth, the most vulnerable group are those who have
completed a 16-year degree program but have not been able to find a
decent job, mostly for lack of appropriate experience and training. It
is the most cherished desire of the Prime Minister that the government
must handhold this group of highly educated youth to inspire confidence
and assurance in their lives. Accordingly, he has directed that a
comprehensive scheme be developed for such youth in government offices,
corporations, bodies and authorities at all levels. All those completing
a 16-year degree program and below the age of 25 years will be eligible
for selection under the scheme. A one-year training program will be
designed for these graduates during which they will be 47 entitled for a
stipend of Rs.10,000 per month. Ministry of Education, Training and
Standards for Higher Education will administer the scheme and each
applicant will apply on-line and his/her degrees will be verified also
on-line by HEC. I am confident that this scheme will provide a useful
training to qualified youth nearer their homes and will enable them to
fare better in the job market.
(2) Prime Minister’s Youth Skills Development Program:
Under
this program 25,000 young persons up to the age of 25 and will minimum
qualification of middle, will be imparted training in a number of trades
across the country. National Vocational and Technical Training
Authority (NAVTEC) will manage the program in collaboration with
provincial TEVTA authorities. Six months training will be given for
which fee will be paid by the government. Emphasis will be placed on
such trades as are in demand abroad or will enable the graduates to
become self-employed.
(3) Small Business Loans Scheme:
With a view to enable our youth to start their own business, small
business loans will be made available through the banking system. Under
the scheme loans ranging from Rs.100,000 to Rs.2,000,000 will be
available at a mark-up cost of 8%. The remaining cost will be borne by
the Government. In the first year of the scheme, 50,000 loans will be
offered. The scheme will be strengthened in the light of experience
gained in first year of operation.
(4) Prime Minister’s
Scheme for Provision of Laptop: To promote access to information and
communication technology it has been decided that provision of a laptop
for distinguished student pursuing higher education should be made. All
students pursuing a degree program from one of the HEC recognized
universities or institutions and meeting merit criteria to be developed
by HEC would be eligible to get a laptop. HEC will announce the details
of the scheme shortly.
(5) Fee Reimbursement Scheme for
Less Developed Areas: Under an existing scheme bright students from less
developed areas are provided tuition fee support while pursuing higher
education at Master’s and Doctorate levels. Presently, it is available
to students from Balochistan, FATA, Gilgit-Baltistan. There is no reason
why this support should not be expended to other less developed areas
such as those of Interior Sindh and Multan, Bahawalpur and D.G. Khan
Divisions of South Punjab, which are equally less developed.
Accordingly, students from these areas pursuing higher education on
merit will also be eligible for tuition fee support.
(6)
Prime Minister’s Micro Finance Scheme: To enable our men and women to
undertake micro enterprise activities, it is decided to allocate Rs.5
billion to launch a scheme of Qarze-Hassana (loans without mark-up).
These will be made available through selected micro finance providers
including 49 Akhuwat, NRSP and Provincial RSPs. Fifty percent of the
beneficiaries of this scheme will be women.
(7) Prime
Minister’s Housing Finance Scheme: Under this scheme, a mortgage
facility of Rs. 1.5 million to Rs. 5.0 million will be offered at a
mark-up rate of 8%. Fifty thousand people will benefit from this scheme.
Mr. Speaker,
Good governance
Public Works Programs for Parliamentarians
61.
Before I close budgetary proposals, let me announce a historic decision
taken by Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif. This relates to the public works
programs undertaken on the recommendations of the parliamentarians.
There were two programs for this purpose PWP-I and PWP-II. The PWP-I was
well structured and was based on equal amount for all parliamentarians
with an allocation of Rs.5 billion. This program is being retained.
However, the other program had no structure and depended on the
discretion of the Prime Minister.
62. This program will
be stopped forthwith. Mr. Speaker, this one decision is the forerunner
of the new style of governance the Prime Minister will bring to the job
to move Pakistan ahead with dignity and honor.
Secret Service Expenditures
63.
In recent days the nation has also come to know that in the name of
secret service expenditures a long list of ministries and departments
have been incurring such expenditures, which are excluded from the
requirement of audit. This exclusion from audit was meant for such
expenditures incurred by agencies connected with the national security.
We have taken immediate cognizance of this matter and yesterday
Ministry of Finance has issued necessary instructions for immediate
ceasing of such of such expenditures and return of unspent balances.
Simultaneously, the allocations for the next year have been cancelled.
Henceforth, such secret service expenditures will be made only by
agencies connected with national security. Appropriate amendment in law
and rules is being made for this purpose.
Discouraging VVIP Culture
64.
In 1997, the Prime Minister Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif had withdrawn
the exemption given to VVIPs for duty and tax-free import of luxury
vehicles for personal use. Consequently, in the Import Policy Order
1998, which I had announced, the Entry No 1.15 of the Import-Export
Procedure was deleted that allowed imports of such vehicles. However,
unfortunately such an exemption was accorded in violation of this
provision in 2005. Our government would like to reiterate that this ban
on duty and tax-free vehicles will continue without exception.
Austerity Measures
65.
We are passing through difficult times and its incumbent on us that we
reduce our expenditures as much as possible. For this purpose, we have
decided to take the following austerity measures to be applicable in the
new fiscal year:
(a) The most pressing need of the
government is to consolidate its unwieldy size. Prime Minister has
decided not to use the full strength of the Cabinet that is provided in
the Constitution, which are 49;
(b) To conserve precious
resources, the Prime Minister has decided to start the exercise from his
own Office. His office will be lean and mean. Furthermore, he is also
applying significant cuts to the budgetary allocations for his office.
From the budget of Prime Minister’s Office, against a revised
expenditure of Rs.725 million during 2012-13, the budget estimate for
2013-14 is only Rs.396 million showing a decrease of 45%. From the
budget of Prime Minister House, excluding salaries and allowances, 44%
budget has been cut.
(c) Other than the obligatory
expenditures of debt servicing, defense, pay and allowances of civil
servants and grants, there will be a 30% cut on all other expenditures
in accordance with the announcement of the Prime Minister. This will
save Rs.40 billion;
(d) With the exception of operational
vehicles of law enforcing agencies and critical development projects, no
car will be purchased;
(e) The discretionary grant of federal ministers is removed;
Relief measures for retired government employees
66.
Despite austerity drive we are mindful of the difficulties being faced
by retired government employees. To mitigate their difficulties it has
been decided to increase pensions by 10% from July 1, 2013, with the
additional relief to low pensioners, whose minimum pension is increased
from Rs.3000 to Rs.5000.
Ramzan Package
67.
The Holy month of Ramzan is just around the corner. To ease the burden
on our people, we are designing a comprehensive plan for providing
relief during this month by significant reduction in prices of major
kitchen items through the Utility Stores Corporation. An amount of Rs.2
billion has been allocated in the budget for this purpose.
Concluding Remarks
Mr. Speaker,
68.
As I said at the beginning, we have inherited a broken economy but we
are determined to face the challenge of its reconstruction squarely.
There is no evasive action that we plan to undertake neither is we
burying our heads in the sand. Lofty ideals are never achieved by
turning your back on the adversities encountered on the way. Under the
circumstances, the nation should appreciate that the path we have
selected is tortuous but once traversed, it will lead the nation to
prosperity and progress that is consistent and in line with the
possibilities and potentialities possessed by us.
69.
This is the lesson we can learn from our Great Quaid Muhammad Ali
Jinnah, who under a serious medical condition chose to travel to Dhaka
to quell a disenchantment facing the nascent state. While concluding a
long but highly inspiring speech before one the most largely attended
public meetings on 21 March 1948, the Quaid said, and I quote:
Finally,
let me appeal to you – keep together, put up with inconveniences,
sufferings and sacrifices, for the collective good of our people. No
amount of trouble, no amount of hard work or sacrifice contribution is
enough for the collective good of your nation and state. It is in that
way, that you will build a Pakistan as the fifth largest state in the
world, not 54 only in population as it is but also in strength, so that
it will command the respect of all the other nations of the world.
70.
Curiously, I find that Allama Muhammad Iqbal, who first conceived the
idea of Pakistan, had a similar message for us we he formulated this
powerful and apt description of our potentialities:
71.
Let’s start our journey on the road identified by Quaid-e-Azam and
Allama Iqbal: the two great leaders of the Pakistan movement. Allah
(SWT) will be our Guide and Supporter. Pakistan, Paindabad.
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